Dubai Marina towers at night

Prices · 5 min read · figures from DLD data to 5 Oct 2026

How to tell if a Dubai property is overpriced

Six checks against what buyers actually paid, using the Dubai Land Department’s registered sales.

Dubai Marina towers at night. Photo: Gfilip, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, resized and cropped
Photo creditDubai Marina towers at night. Photo: Gfilip, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, resized and cropped

The short answer

Divide the asking price by the size on the contract and compare it with what the same size sold for in the same project over the last twelve months. A price above the middle half of those sales is dearer than three in four buyers paid, so ask the seller why.

Published 11 Oct 2026 · figures from DLD data to 5 Oct 2026, updated 13 Oct 2026

An asking price is high when it is above what buyers paid for the same kind of home in the same place. The Dubai Land Department registers every sale with its price and size, so that comparison can be made with the record rather than with other listings. Six checks, in order.

1. Get the size from the contract

Price per square foot is the price divided by the size. Take the size from the sale contract or the title deed. A listing can round it, or count space the contract does not.

2. Set it against the same size in the same project

Compare a one-bedroom flat with one-bedroom sales in the same project, over the last twelve months. A median of five or more sales is a fair benchmark; with fewer, use the area.

Take Azizi Venice 14. Its 509 one-bedroom home sales over Oct 2025–Sep 2026 registered at a median AED 1,501 per square foot.

3. See where it sits in the middle half

Drop the cheapest quarter and the dearest quarter of those sales. A price inside what remains is in line with most buyers. A price above it is dearer than three in four of them, and the seller should be able to say why.

In Azizi Venice 14, half of the one-bedroom sales went for between AED 999,000 and AED 1,190,820.

4. Check which way the project’s prices are moving

A median from a year ago can be out of date. Each project page shows the median home price per square foot by calendar year.

In Azizi Venice 14, homes registered at a median AED 1,640 per square foot in 2025 and AED 1,652 in 2026 to 5 Oct, +1%. There, a price set from the earlier figure is low for today.

5. Compare the project with its area

If the whole project sells above its area, part of any price there is the building itself: its developer, its views, its amenities. That premium is a fair question to ask about.

One-bedroom homes across Madinat Al Mataar registered at a median AED 1,585 per square foot over Oct 2025–Sep 2026, against AED 1,501 in Azizi Venice 14.

6. Check the advert itself

Every property ad a broker or developer publishes in Dubai needs a Trakheesi permit from the Land Department, and its number should be on the ad (DLD, Real Estate Advertisement Permit; DLD, 20 Oct 2020). Ask for the size in square feet from the contract, not a rounded listing figure, before you compare.

What the record can’t tell you

Floor, view, condition, the service charge and, off-plan, the payment plan all move the price of one flat. Registered prices set the range; those details place a flat within it. For a valuation, ask a valuer registered with RERA (Executive Council Resolution No. 37 of 2015).

Check an asking price

Get The weekly

The weekly: projects whose completion date or % built changed on the DLD register, and those that finished.

Projects to look at

Dubai, general view

Azizi Venice 14

Madinat Al Mataar · Azizi

Due May 2026DLD register
Built30%
Median home price, Oct 2025–Sep 2026AED 650k
2,033 sales, Oct 2025–Sep 2026
Dubai, general view

Sobha Solis

Motor City · Sobha

Due Dec 2028DLD register
Built13%
Median home price, Oct 2025–Sep 2026AED 1.1m
574 sales, Oct 2025–Sep 2026
Dubai, general view

DAMAC Riverside Views - Azure 2

Dubai Investment Park Second · DAMAC

Due Mar 2029DLD register
Built6%
Median home price, Oct 2025–Sep 2026AED 1.1m
692 sales, Oct 2025–Sep 2026

Photos: Towers under construction, Dubai by Leandro Neumann Ciuffo (Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 2.0); Sheikh Zayed Road from above by monicker (Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 3.0). Resized and cropped.

Questions

What makes a Dubai asking price too high?

Divide the asking price by the size on the sale contract and compare it with the median price per square foot that the same size sold for in the same project over the last twelve months. A price above the middle half of those sales is dearer than three in four of them.

Are listing prices the same as sale prices in Dubai?

No. A listing shows what a seller asks. The Dubai Land Department records what a buyer paid when the sale is registered, and that is the figure to compare with.

How many sales make a fair comparison?

Five or more sales of the same size over twelve months give a median worth comparing with. This site shows no median below that.

Should I compare with the area or the project?

With both. The project tells you what that building sells for; the area tells you whether the building itself sells at a premium.

What if the project has few sales?

With fewer than five sales of a size over twelve months there is no reliable median. Compare with the same size across the area instead.

Cite this page

How to tell if a Dubai property is overpriced. Real Estate IQ, 13 Oct 2026. dubairealestateiq.com/guides/is-it-overpriced

Sources: Dubai Land Department open data, registered sales to 5 Oct 2026, via Dubai Real Estate Data (CC BY 4.0), processed by Real Estate IQ; DLD project register, read 13 Oct 2026. Registered prices, not asking prices or valuations. How the figures are worked out.

Read next

Photos: Towers under construction, Dubai by Leandro Neumann Ciuffo (Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 2.0); Dubai Marina at night by Gfilip (Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0); Dubai skyline at dusk by imran shahabuddin (Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 2.0). Resized and cropped.